Key Takeaways:
- Wells Fargo’s chief investment strategist expects equities to rise in 2026, albeit with heightened volatility along the way.
- The outlook reflects improving macro fundamentals balanced against policy and geopolitical uncertainty.
- For HNWIs, disciplined positioning and risk management will be critical to capturing upside.
Wells Fargo’s Darrell Cronk has outlined a cautiously constructive outlook for global equity markets in 2026, projecting higher overall levels while warning investors to expect a volatile path forward. The view underscores a market environment where opportunity and risk coexist, requiring a more deliberate approach to capital deployment.
Why a Volatile Advance Is the Base Case
According to Cronk’s assessment, economic growth is likely to remain resilient enough to support corporate earnings, even as tighter financial conditions and uneven policy signals create short-term disruptions. Equity markets, in this context, may grind higher rather than surge, with periodic pullbacks testing investor conviction.
For long-term allocators, this environment favors patience and selectivity over tactical trading, as broad market timing becomes increasingly difficult.
Macro Forces Shaping the 2026 Landscape
Key drivers of the outlook include moderating inflation trends, gradual shifts in monetary policy, and continued technological and productivity investment. At the same time, geopolitical developments and fiscal uncertainty introduce episodic risk that can amplify volatility.
Cronk’s perspective suggests that markets are transitioning from a liquidity-driven phase to one where fundamentals and earnings execution play a more decisive role in valuation outcomes.
Strategic Implications for Wealth Preservation
For HNWIs, a bumpy but rising market argues for diversified exposure, disciplined rebalancing, and an emphasis on quality assets with durable cash flows. Volatility, while uncomfortable, can create entry points for well-capitalized investors who maintain a long-term perspective.
Looking ahead, investors should monitor earnings revisions, central bank communication, and geopolitical risk indicators. In a market defined by uneven progress, resilience and strategic clarity may matter more than aggressive positioning.
For a confidential discussion regarding how to position your portfolio for a volatile yet constructive equity outlook, contact our senior advisory team.